Title : OPEC Runs Out Of Options -- Bid To Boost Oil Prize Fizzles -- Bloomberg -- May 6, 2017
link : OPEC Runs Out Of Options -- Bid To Boost Oil Prize Fizzles -- Bloomberg -- May 6, 2017
OPEC Runs Out Of Options -- Bid To Boost Oil Prize Fizzles -- Bloomberg -- May 6, 2017
Link here.I'm only interested if there is anything new in the story -- something new that hasn't been posted on the blog in the past four weeks. Let's see:
- a rebound in US shale output and stubbornly-high stockpiles show the world's three-year glut isn't shifting (nothing new)
- meeting in Vienna, May 25; most likely OPEC will "keep the course"; the alternatives look even worse (nothing new)
- if OPEC cuts more, it is likely even more shale supplies might come along (not particularly new)
- "with OPEC already showing near-perfect compliance in delivering its pledged 1.2 million bopd production cut" -- same old tune -- in fact;
- OPEC based cuts on run-up in production
- some countries exempt from any cut and any ceiling
- Saudi Arabia caught siphoning off crude oil in storage to more than make up any production cut (wink, wink)
- IEA still predicts a rapid reduction in the supply glut in 2H17; in fact, at the rate of the US drawdown this past week, it will take 200 weeks for US storage to get back to historical levels
- global fuel stockpiles have actually increased during the first quarter, the IEA estimates (is this new? maybe)
- "in the US, crude inventories are dropping, but remain near record levels" -- the drop has been trivial; a rounding error
- "meanwhile, American production has roared back, growing by 523,000 bopd to the highest level in almost two years" -- EIA
- it seems like EIA and IEA are on different pages (nothing new)
Meanwhile, elsewhere Russia is "crowing" about cutting more than it agreed upon. Regardless of agreements, does this really matter:
- Under the deal, Russia pledged to reduce its average daily production gradually by 300,000 barrels to 10.947 million bpd from the October level of 11.247 million bpd.
Thus Article OPEC Runs Out Of Options -- Bid To Boost Oil Prize Fizzles -- Bloomberg -- May 6, 2017
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