Case Study -- Jump In Production After Neighboring Wells Were Fracked -- June 7, 2017

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Title : Case Study -- Jump In Production After Neighboring Wells Were Fracked -- June 7, 2017
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Case Study -- Jump In Production After Neighboring Wells Were Fracked -- June 7, 2017

Disclaimer: in a long note like this, there will be typographical and factual errors. In addition, I may have missed something important, and/or there may things I am mis-reading. If this is important to you, go to the source.

This is being posted for an individual interested in "re-fracks" in the Bakken. 

For reasons I discussed with that individual, it is very tedious to research data on "re-fracked" wells in the Bakken.

This is how I do it:
1) I go back to "Retrieve Well Production History" at the NDIC site
2) I then go through the scout tickets/file reports one-by-one. This is incredibly tedious. This would be a good summer job for a high school student; and/or better yet, someone should be able to write an "app" that would do this
3) instruct the high school student or the "app" to a) go through the scout tickets chronologically; b) identify any wells with "unusual" (set your own parameters) production patterns
4) try to explain any jump in production using a) the file report; b) FracFocus; c) other sources
In this particular case, I started with file #17000 and worked chronologically to the first well a) with an unusual production profile; and, b) one that I had not identified before.

In just a matter of minutes I came across this one, #17086 and noted the unusual jump in production back in June, 2016.

I pulled that one aside, and then:
a) checked the file report for sundry forms that might explain the jump in production
b) retrieved the API number from the scout ticket and check FracFocus
These are the results.

The index well:
  •  17086, 560, Jorgenson 1-15H, Lost Bridge, t11/08; cum 276K 4/17; the production profile showed a huge jump in production in June, 2016
Looking at the GIS map at the NDIC site, I noted the graphic that is depicted below the spreadsheet. Note the four horizontals that "cross" the index well.

Of those wells, interestingly only one was a middle Bakken, and all were fracked shortly before June, 2016, when it was noted that production for #17086 jumped:
  • 32581,  Three Forks, t6/16; 50 stages, 5.6 million lbs;
  • 29856, Three Forks t6/16; 50 stages, 3.5 million lbs;
  • 32092, Three Forks, t/16; 50 stages, 5.6 million lbs;
  • 29857, middle Bakken, t6/16; 50 stages, 5.6 million lbs;
Production profile for #17086 about the time four neighboring wells were fracked:

BAKKEN 2-2017 28 7088 6914 2563 8927 6652 2030
BAKKEN 1-2017 31 8087 8637 2965 9039 8698 62
BAKKEN 12-2016 31 8573 8363 2318 8803 6508 2032
BAKKEN 11-2016 30 7792 7660 2735 5873 828 4775
BAKKEN 10-2016 31 7520 7860 2688 6571 183 6109
BAKKEN 9-2016 30 9074 8958 3078 9828 7387 2171
BAKKEN 8-2016 31 15396 15098 5634 17597 14164 3154
BAKKEN 7-2016 31 17370 17744 9627 19641 3876 15486
BAKKEN 6-2016 14 7376 6688 8014 6095 278 5699
BAKKEN 5-2016 7 143 0 465 31 11 0
BAKKEN 4-2016 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BAKKEN 3-2016 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BAKKEN 2-2016 22 0 0 0 472 0 464
BAKKEN 1-2016 31 1179 1360 125 2104 1089 741
BAKKEN 12-2015 31 1290 1187 145 2005 977 749
BAKKEN 11-2015 30 1231 1481 130 1560 391 899
BAKKEN 10-2015 31 1301 1865 140 1756 533 945
BAKKEN 9-2015 30 1260 464 148 1969 908 791


When I see a jump in production of this magnitude, I assume the well was re-fracked. And in this case, it is very possible the well was re-fracked but there is no evidence that it was:
  • no sundry form
  • no FracFocus data: (API: 33-025-00729)
  • on a completely different pad than where neighboring wells were fracked 
The graphic:



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