The Energy And Market Page, T+277 -- October 25, 2017 -- Why I Love To Blog -- IN PROGRESS

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Title : The Energy And Market Page, T+277 -- October 25, 2017 -- Why I Love To Blog -- IN PROGRESS
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The Energy And Market Page, T+277 -- October 25, 2017 -- Why I Love To Blog -- IN PROGRESS

I was out and about all day. I turned on CNBC and the first thing I caught (at 2:58 p.m. CT) was the anchor noting that WTI was "down today" (all of 20-some cents, but still above $52) due to a surprising build in US crude oil inventories.

Wow, I mentioned that last evening and again this morning that US crude oil inventories increased -- it was not much, but it was going the wrong direction. For those expecting the price of WTI to go up any time in the near term, I would suggest looking at these data points:
  • RBN Energy analysis suggesting that US oil companies will be increasing/maintaining CAPEX this next year (2018) and by extension, increasing/maintaining production
  • John Kemp's stunning graph this morning of all the crude oil the US is exporting -- despite all the oil being exported, US inventories increase
  • OPEC and everyone else counting on "demand" (not supply) to drive the price of oil going forward (despite the fact that the US driving season -- the demand season -- is coming to an end for this year)
One thing that might drive US crude oil inventories down: if refinery utilization improves (US refining utilization is still below 90%).

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Housing sales: huge jump in September for new home sales. Up almost 20%. Rick Santelli on CNBC this morning was absolutely shell-shocked, or so it seemed (but then he always seems shell-shocked) about the number. I thought the housing number would help the markets but it did not.






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