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Title : Latest 4Q17 Jumps -- Now Up To 3.3%; Previous 2.8% -- January 12, 2018
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Latest 4Q17 Jumps -- Now Up To 3.3%; Previous 2.8% -- January 12, 2018

Latest forecast: 3.3 percent — January 12, 2018.

The GDPNow model forecast for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 2017 is 3.3 percent on January 12, up from 2.8 percent on January 10.

The forecast of fourth-quarter real consumer spending growth increased from 3.0 percent to 3.8 percent after this morning's retail sales report from the U.S. Census Bureau and this morning's Consumer Price Index release from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

US economy:

• easy money
• Fed remains cautious 
• lower tax rates, literally overnight -- and lowered significantly -- really significantly
• great corporate earnings environment
• JPM surprises
• Fiat Chrysler: NAFTA is dead
• many sectors did not participate in rally during 2017
• consumer confidence at 17-year highs
• cheap, accessible energy
• geopolitical risks dialed way back
• mideast relatively quiet
• Trump sounds more "optimistic" about North Korea
• infrastructure discussion beginning
• WTI flirting with $64 again today
• one week until partial government shut-down
• P/E nowhere near euphoric conditions 
• big companies with huge cash holdings: Buffett with more cash than ever
• $1,000 - $2,000 / employee across the spectrum; huge amount of money going back into economy

Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, travel, job, or relationship decisions based on anything you read here or think you may have read here.

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