Random Update Of A BR Dimmick Lake Well That Had a Significant Jump In Production -- January 25, 2018

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Title : Random Update Of A BR Dimmick Lake Well That Had a Significant Jump In Production -- January 25, 2018
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Random Update Of A BR Dimmick Lake Well That Had a Significant Jump In Production -- January 25, 2018

So, you are a mineral owner. You have a payment due on your new Porsche. And you have a well or two. And your royalty payments are generally decreasing as production decreases, just as you would expect, nothing unusual. Than, all of a sudden your royalties jump 7x what you were used to getting and you know you don't have a new well. What's going on, you ask?

A reader had that experience. He took a look at "his" well and the production history:
  • 16791, 436, BR, Demicks Lake 41-18H, Dimmick Lake, t3/08; cum 106K 11/17. The reader's well was only off-line for about a month, and this was the production history. It went from a well producing less than 100 bbls/month (worthy of being shut it) and now it's producing upwards of 5,000 bbls/month (in fact, it might be more once we see a few more months of data):
Pool Date Days BBLS Oil Runs BBLS Water MCF Prod MCF Sold Vent/Flare
BAKKEN 11-2017 30 4628 4869 1671 5654 5580 0
BAKKEN 10-2017 6 1035 700 2708 913 712 186
BAKKEN 9-2017 12 40 0 100 58 0 28
BAKKEN 8-2017 31 65 0 2 108 12 19
BAKKEN 7-2017 28 59 0 5 115 30 15
BAKKEN 6-2017 30 101 226 1 106 29 3
BAKKEN 5-2017 31 71 0 1 112 35 0
BAKKEN 4-2017 25 63 221 206 132 70 0
BAKKEN 3-2017 12 26 0 1 30 0 0
BAKKEN 2-2017 28 106 0 3 169 99 0

There was nothing to explain the jump. The jump was too small to indicate a re-frack. The natural question: was their other activity in the area?

So, he looked at the two nearest horizontals, which weren't all that "near." FracFocus has not data (yet) indicated these two wells were fracked. But the file report showed that they had been fracked:
  • 33338, 420, BR, Demicks Dodge 1AMBH-ULW, Dimmick Lake, 4 sections, t12/17; cum -- ; API 33-053-07949, stimulated 9/17; 62 stages, 10.4 million lbs, all 100 Mesh;
  • 33339, 168, BR, Dodge 1B TFH, Dimmick Lake, t12/17; cum -- ; API 33-053-07950, stimulated 9/17; Three Forks; 63 stages; 10.7 million lbs, all 100 Mesh
The graphic:

There are several story lines here, all of which have been discussed ad nauseum at the blog, so I won't continue to ramble. 

And, yes, the reader was able to make that monthly payment on his new Porsche.

By the way, two other questions should jump out at you. What about #17200, and what was the original production data for #16791?

First, #17200 -- unfortunately it showed no jump in production. Maybe we need to check again later on.

Second, what was the original production for #16791 when it was first fracked back in early 2008? Yeah, it was a pretty lousy well, #16791 after initial frack:
BAKKEN 7-2008 31 1244 1063 1839 941 941 0
BAKKEN 6-2008 30 926 856 87 1584 1584 0
BAKKEN 5-2008 31 3158 3140 370 6589 6589 0
BAKKEN 4-2008 30 5812 5775 826 11290 11290 0
BAKKEN 3-2008 31 4741 4528 2282 7237 7237 0


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