This One Graphic Could Keep Me Busy For Years -- January 17, 2018

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Title : This One Graphic Could Keep Me Busy For Years -- January 17, 2018
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This One Graphic Could Keep Me Busy For Years -- January 17, 2018

This is the graphic:



I first posted this graphic at this post when I noted the production profile of #23495.


So, now, pick another horizontal. Let's pick #19397:
  • 19397, 417, CLR, Buelingo 1-20H, Elm Tree, t3/11; cum 227K 11/17 (note, it's even started flaring again):
Pool Date Days BBLS Oil Runs BBLS Water MCF Prod MCF Sold Vent/Flare
BAKKEN 11-2017 3 2548 1923 1433 3207 2656 534
BAKKEN 10-2017 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BAKKEN 9-2017 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BAKKEN 8-2017 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BAKKEN 7-2017 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BAKKEN 6-2017 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BAKKEN 5-2017 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BAKKEN 4-2017 0 0 210 0 0 0 0
BAKKEN 3-2017 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BAKKEN 2-2017 22 724 713 180 1470 1226 70
BAKKEN 1-2017 31 1129 1202 445 2163 1822 93
BAKKEN 12-2016 30 1440 1213 441 2228 1946 51
BAKKEN 11-2016 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BAKKEN 10-2016 26 1884 2069 363 3539 3261 78

Production of 2,548 bbls over three days extrapolates to 25,480 bbls/month.

Production profile after initial frack:
BAKKEN 10-2011 26 4928 5022 1125 5738 2318 3420
BAKKEN 9-2011 21 4451 4515 812 4875 4875 0
BAKKEN 8-2011 31 5873 5770 1030 8056 8056 0
BAKKEN 7-2011 31 6288 6396 1185 8219 7569 650
BAKKEN 6-2011 30 6665 6910 1228 8587 4717 3870
BAKKEN 5-2011 31 7441 7656 1395 10249 9524 725
BAKKEN 4-2011 30 8927 8747 1997 11586 8049 3537
BAKKEN 3-2011 30 14026 13414 4701 17110 0 17110

So, how do analysts predict production in the Bakken when strange things like this happen. And these events will increase in frequency as the Bakken is drilled out over the next 30 years.


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