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Title : The Status Of EVs In The US -- Commentary -- February 24, 2018
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The Status Of EVs In The US -- Commentary -- February 24, 2018

Overnight I spent a lot of time -- at least fifteen minutes, LOL -- looking at various issues regarding EVs. Below the graphic I have a very small sample of the articles I read.

Based on that "research," this is my 30-second elevator speech, with regard to EVs in the US:

• short term the Chevy Bolt (or alternatively, one of the Ford EVs) is going to be the #1 EV sold in the US (short-term -- five years)
• long term, Tesla, if it survives, will be a niche player at best (but I don't see it surviving)
• by 2019, it will be obvious that the phase-out of the federal credits will benefit foreign auto-makers, the phase-out will hurt domestic automakers (GM and Ford); both political parties will agree
• extending the EV federal credit is a budget killer -- but that won't stop Congress from extending the EV federal credit; there's a case for extending the credit indefinitely but Congress seldom does anything "indefinitely"
• publicly accessible charging stations are the "Achilles heel" for EVs; until this problem is solved; the US won't reach the kick-off point in the "S" curve of adoption

Likely phase-out dates for federal EV credits, from Inside EVs -- link below the graphic:

Further reading:

• US federal $7,500 electric vehicle credit expiry date by automaker, Inside EVs, January, 2017
• Tesla delays, tax credit concerns spur sales of Chevy Bolts, US News, February 16, 2018
• Elective vehicle tax credit survives, but GM and Tesla aren't cheering, NY Times Business Day, January 11, 2018 
• Tesla expects to hit cap for federal tax credits in 2018; milestone to trigger phaseout of key consumer, Automotive News, updated February 23, 2018 
• Chicago could see 80,000 electric cars by 2030; fast-charging stations cost upwards of $100,000; WTTW, February 22, 2018

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