Random Look At A Re-Entry, Re-Fracked CLR Bridger Well -- March 7, 2018

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Title : Random Look At A Re-Entry, Re-Fracked CLR Bridger Well -- March 7, 2018
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Random Look At A Re-Entry, Re-Fracked CLR Bridger Well -- March 7, 2018

This is (another) great example of Bakken 2.0 and how traditional methods of "evaluating" an unconventional play simply don't work. It's my contention that Wall Street analysts have not yet noted this. One can be sure that the Saudis understand this as do the Russians. 

I track the Bridger wells here, though that page has not been updated in a long time.

The well:
  • 17089, 400, CLR, Bridger 44-14H, Rattlesnake Point, 33-025-00731, a very nice well; t4/08; cum 247K 1/18; 
Note the permit/file number -- #17089. This well was originally drilled back in 2008 -- before the Bakken boom hit its stride. This well was recently put back on the confidential list and today it comes off the confidential list.

As an aside, when I first started following the Bakken, I was told by a Bakken "expert" at another discussion group, that a North Dakota well could only be on the confidential list once. So much to learn. And I probably only know 1% of all there is to know.


So, what's going on? I don't know.

Let's explore together. As noted, the well has been producing since 2008. The first six months of production data:


BAKKEN 9-2008 23 3517 3107 1041 3092 3092 0
BAKKEN 8-2008 31 4164 4350 620 3418 3418 0
BAKKEN 7-2008 31 5446 5346 1191 4035 4035 0
BAKKEN 6-2008 30 4233 4102 668 3098 3098 0
BAKKEN 5-2008 31 7422 7454 1733 5364 5364 0
BAKKEN 4-2008 30 936 798 2061 0 0 0

Not very exciting, huh?

Now, look at this. Incredible, huh, for a re-entry, a re-fracked well?

17089:

Pool Date Days BBLS Oil Runs BBLS Water MCF Prod MCF Sold Vent/Flare
BAKKEN 1-2018 23 12507 12087 9752 13229 12402 827
BAKKEN 12-2017 17 8018 8624 6968 9880 9880 0
BAKKEN 11-2017 30 16622 16901 19907 19639 19639 0
BAKKEN 10-2017 31 22673 21904 16941 24616 22715 1901
BAKKEN 9-2017 27 18302 18465 15589 19122 16196 2926
BAKKEN 8-2017 31 27510 27488 27427 28501 21738 6763
BAKKEN 7-2017 5 2102 2047 837 1178 85 1093
BAKKEN 6-2017 1 519 230 1306 317 0 317
BAKKEN 5-2017 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BAKKEN 4-2017 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BAKKEN 3-2017 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BAKKEN 2-2017 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BAKKEN 1-2017 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BAKKEN 12-2016 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BAKKEN 11-2016 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BAKKEN 10-2016 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BAKKEN 9-2016 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BAKKEN 8-2016 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BAKKEN 7-2016 6 335 644 87 433 66 367

From the file report:

The newest data has not yet been scanned in by the NDIC. The cover page says the well is still confidential but I assume we will see the updated file in the next week or so.

The most recent geologist's report was received by the NDIC on October 3, 2016. It was spud September 17, 2016, and drilling ceased on September 19, 2016 or two days of drilling. From the file report:
  • the Bridger 44-14H is a horizontal re-entry well targeting the middle Bakken porosity
  • the rig started drilling ahead in the re-entry middle Bakken lateral at a MD of 20,845' on September 18th, 2016, at 9:44 p.m. CDT
  • gas ranged from 1,400 to 2,100 units 
From an earlier sundry form:
  • CLR planned to re-enter and deepen the existing lateral of the Bridger 44-14H; plans to extend the existing lateral by 336 feet to a TVD of 11,090 feet
  • that was an open hole frack with slightly more than a million lbs of sand
The sister well on the same pad as #17089:
  • 32740, 1,485, CLR, Bridger 10-14H2, Rattlesnake Point, 41 stages; 10.2 million lbs, t9/17; cum 137K 1/18;
The nearest well to the west of these two wells, on another pad, is:
  • 31847, 1,515, CLR, Bridger 9-14H1, Rattlesnake Point, 40 stages; 15.1 million lbs, t8/17; cum 125K 1/18; 
  • <
One can assume the re-entered Bridger 44-14H was fracked with a similar amount of sand.

Note the production profile. If one simply looks at the "IP test date" and the current date, one misses much of the story. According to the "IP test date" this well has been producing for eight months. In fact, only five months suggest some level of "unconstrained production":

Monthly Production Data
Pool Date Days BBLS Oil Runs BBLS Water MCF Prod MCF Sold Vent/Flare
BAKKEN 1-2018 31 22479 22592 29091 30923 22909 8014
BAKKEN 12-2017 31 25030 24856 42472 26335 25701 634
BAKKEN 11-2017 2 1350 1435 2851 1512 1444 68
BAKKEN 10-2017 28 18550 18609 23933 21854 18996 2858
BAKKEN 9-2017 30 22351 22386 34827 27299 20714 6585
BAKKEN 8-2017 31 33264 33134 51363 33145 24450 8695
BAKKEN 7-2017 5 1901 1846 5914 271 180 91
BAKKEN 6-2017 2 0 0 3148 0 0 0


Aha! It just dawned on me. There's another way to find frack data. Let's see if FracFocus has any new data.

Yup, there it is, fracked 4/28/17 - 5/19/17.
  • water : 85% of total proppant by weight
  • water: 10,332,000 gallons
  • sand: 14.76% by weight
  • a gallon of water weighs 8.345404 million pounds
  • 10,332 million gallons of water weight 86.224714 million pounds
  • 85% of what = 86.224714 million lbs
  • 101.4408 million lbs total proppant (sand+water+all that other stuff)
  • 14.76% of 101.4408 = 15 million lbs of sand 
  • my numbers may be off a bit but the neighboring wells were fracked with 10 million lbs and 15 million lbs of sand
Comments:
  • with the exception of sand, there was very little additional cost to re-frack this well; the frack spreads were already in the area
  • in the process, CLR essentially got a new well
  • CLR did not have to drill a new well: it did not have to build a new pad; it did not have to pay a bonus for a new lease; it did not have to wait for permits; minimal cost in re-evaluating the well; developing design plans, etc
  • absolutely (well, almost absolutely) no risk of a dry hole (yes, a few re-entry wells are failures)
  • a lot of the extra cost of the sand and re-frack was already "covered" by fracking neighboring wells (I won't go through the details)
  • they simply drilled less than two more days, extending the horizontal in the process 
  • the Bakken 10,000 to 20,000 wells that are candidates for re-works; mini-refracks; re-entry - extension; big re-fracks; etc; and, that's even before we get to tertiary production (EOR)
  • and, yes, I'm inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken


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