Title : Shale Oil Still Defating Its Skeptics -- Richard Zeits -- March 8, 2018
link : Shale Oil Still Defating Its Skeptics -- Richard Zeits -- March 8, 2018
Shale Oil Still Defating Its Skeptics -- Richard Zeits -- March 8, 2018
Well done, Mr Zeits. Over at SeekingAlpha:- macro models are finally catching up with unconventional oil realities: U.S. shales are competitive at low oil prices and volumes grew much faster in 2017 than many skeptics had anticipated
- in recognition of the operational trends, in the last three months alone, the EIA's STEO forecast for U.S. production was revised higher three times
- the production estimate for Q4 2018 was increased by a staggering 1.0 million barrels per day
- 2hile the agency's 2018 estimates for U.S. production are now not unreasonable, the 2019 projections are puzzling and face the risk of major upward revisions
- bureaucracies are by their very nature, very conservative; they would rather be wrong on the low side than the high side
- shale production is very, very sensitive to price swings and consumer demand
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