NOG To Acquire 1,319 Net Acres In The Core Bakken; Early $40K/Acre -- April 26, 2018

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Title : NOG To Acquire 1,319 Net Acres In The Core Bakken; Early $40K/Acre -- April 26, 2018
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NOG To Acquire 1,319 Net Acres In The Core Bakken; Early $40K/Acre -- April 26, 2018

NOG:
  • will acquire 1,319 net acres in the core Bakken
  • 86 gross wells; 6.5 net wells (current operators: Hess, Whiting, COP, Statoil)
  • McKenzie County, southeast of Williston; right along the south side of the river
  • 100% held by production
  • acquiring 8.2 net future drilling locations; EURs of 1 million bbls
  • acquisition to yield almost $20 million of cash from operations for 2018 (this year)
  • $40 million + 6 million shrs NOG ($1.60/share)
  • $50 million / 1,319 acres = $38,000 / acre
  • some idle calculations (mine, not from the NOG press release)
    • 1,319 acres = ~ 2 sections
    • 2 sections = 1280 acres
    • minimum: 12 wells on 1280-acre spacing
    • 12 wells x 1 million EURs = 12 million bbls
    • from an old post, 2014: 1,875 boe / acre - 2014; EURs of 500,00 bbls
    • 1,875 boe x 1280 acres = 2.4 million bbls
    • 12 million bbls crude oil / 1280 acres = 9,375 bbls oil / acre in the core Bakken 
    • 12 million bbls crude oil x $40/bbl = $480 million  
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Active Rigs 63 48 26 84 182

RBN Energy: costly logistical headaches for Permian crude E&Ps, part 4. I do not know, but I have not heard much about crude-by-rail yet in the Permian. While driving through a very, very small part of the Permian recently, I saw no CBR.
Large-scale and well-funded producers in the Permian have built dedicated gathering systems and signed up for pipeline-takeaway options to keep their barrels moving to markets at the Gulf Coast and Cushing.
For the most part, smaller producers don’t have the same options, for a variety of reasons. More and more, barrels from outside the core areas of the Permian are competing for the last bits of pipeline space and producers are being forced to rely more heavily on Permian trucking companies to help keep their crude flowing. Truckers are being asked to make less desirable, less economical and longer hauls, and are passing those costs back to the producer. With pipeline takeaway capacity maxed out, trucking capacity is being pushed to the limit too, with several potential upstream impacts. Today, we look at trucking options for smaller producers in second-tier production areas, the impact of boom-bust cycles on trucking companies and what tight trucking capacity means for the basin as a whole.



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