Starting The Weekend -- First Note -- October 20, 2018

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Title : Starting The Weekend -- First Note -- October 20, 2018
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Starting The Weekend -- First Note -- October 20, 2018

ICYMI: earlier I posed this "riddle" -- fill in the blank --
  • calf : yearling : cow
  • lamb : ______ : sheep
The answer will be found below the fold.

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Lotteries And Fist Fights Gone Awry

Lottery: no one won the big prize. Out of guilt (a long story) I bought five tickets ($10) for my wife. I told her not to throw the tickets away; a lot of lesser prizes were awarded. We both agreed that if we won a million-dollar prize it wasn't worth the effort to claim it. We're going for the "big one."

Lottery 2: the Brewers are still in it. And based on early reports they go into game 7 with a huge advantage. So, the odds of the Brewers vs Boston in the World Series looks like 5 - 1 odds. Better than that other lottery.

The week in energy: this may be behind the paywall. From the Financial Times today. With regard to the Khashoggi affair, a fist-fight gone awry.
Consensus: There will be targeted US sanctions against some Saudi individuals, which are likely to be “enough that the administration can argue they are punishing the bad actors, but not so much that Riyadh will be forced to respond”. If that is indeed the outcome, he added, “crude oil flows should be unscathed”. That appears to have been the view in the market: Brent crude drifted downwards during the week from $81.50 on Monday to about $80.30 on Friday. 
By the way, the Khashoggi affair reminds me of something Sir Saint Obama once said.
"They bring a smart watch. We bring a bone saw."
And, of course, this gives new meaning to "kick 'em when they're down." -- Eric Holder, former US Attorney General and likely future presidential candidate. 

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Back to the Bakken 

Active rigs:


10/20/2018 10/20/2017 10/20/2016 10/20/2015 10/20/2014
Active Rigs 71 54 33 68 191

Price / number of active rigs: the other day, a reader noted the correlation between the price of WTI and the number of active rigs in North Dakota:
  • $191: !40 rigs
  • $70: 70 rigs
  • $50: 50 rigs
  • $35: 33 rigs
Answer to the "riddle" above: hogget.




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