Random Update Of A Re-Fracked MRO Well -- January 3, 2019

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Title : Random Update Of A Re-Fracked MRO Well -- January 3, 2019
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Random Update Of A Re-Fracked MRO Well -- January 3, 2019

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From an earlier note:
  • November 27, 2018: #17568, neighboring MRO wells in Reunion Bay fracked;
  • 17568, 539, MRO, Charles Shobe - USA 44-19H, Reunion Bay, t2/09; cum 275K 11/18;
So, let's see what #17568 is doing. Remember, this well was first drilled/completed back in 2009. See this note for my comments regarding the Bakken

So, what's recent production for #17568, a well that is nine years old? By conventional rules, Hubbert peak oil theory the production from this well should continue to decline.

First, the original production profile back in 2009:
BAKKEN 12-2009 14 1361 1100 342 1341 0 1341
BAKKEN 11-2009 23 2330 2773 282 2306 0 2306
BAKKEN 10-2009 31 3991 4041 247 3930 0 3930
BAKKEN 9-2009 30 4115 3983 233 4052 0 4052
BAKKEN 8-2009 31 4614 4661 272 4548 0 4548
BAKKEN 7-2009 31 4133 3788 408 4071 0 4071
BAKKEN 6-2009 26 6091 6496 652 6006 0 6006
BAKKEN 5-2009 31 4655 4631 437 4584 0 4584
BAKKEN 4-2009 30 4352 4243 313 4286 0 4286
BAKKEN 3-2009 31 5736 5580 508 5629 0 5629
BAKKEN 2-2009 28 8523 8477 1280 8114 0 8114
BAKKEN 1-2009 19 2327 1834 1438 1903 0 1903
BAKKEN 12-2008 4 15 0 175 12 0 12

Pretty unimpressive, huh? The best it did after original completion: 6,000 bbls. La-de-dah!

Now, let's see recent production profile:

Pool Date Days BBLS Oil Runs BBLS Water MCF Prod MCF Sold Vent/Flare
BAKKEN 11-2018 15 25449 25339 10356 30664 0 29203
BAKKEN 10-2018 18 38867 39989 24669 47393 0 45170
BAKKEN 9-2018 12 29459 28021 32833 32716 0 32596
BAKKEN 8-2018 1 0 171 4 98 0 98
BAKKEN 7-2018 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
BAKKEN 6-2018 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BAKKEN 5-2018 0 0 71 0 0 0 0
BAKKEN 4-2018 23 519 517 54 620 356 72
BAKKEN 3-2018 31 708 728 70 897 256 39

If you own minerals in this well, do you really care if UTS oil has a problem as suggested by that WSJ article? LOL. I would be thrilled to have mineral rights in this well. LOL.

I don't even care, from a mineral owner's point of view, why the well jumped in production.

If I'm interested in learning about the Bakken and learning about the Bakken revolution, then I would be curious to see why this well jumped in production. It had to have been re-fracked, but let's check.

API: 33-061-00849.

Yup, re-fracked, 7/16/2018 - 7/26/2018. The NDIC doesn't have the recent re-frack data, but FracFocus does. This was an incredibly small re-frack: only 5.7 million gallons of water; and 89% water by mass.

So, another example. For the relatively small cost of a small refrack, MRO has "another" new well.

Yeah, "fracking has a problem" -- the WSJ.

By the way,
  • 30,000 bbls over 12 days extrapolates to: 75,000 bbls in one month
  • 39,000 bbls over 18 days extrapolates to: 65,000 bbls in one month
  • 25,000 bbls over 15 days extrapolates to: 50,000 bbls in one month
So, why did this well only produce half a month for three months in a row? Anyone's guess. Perhaps the company is managing its assets. Perhaps the tanks fill in half a month. I don't know. A mineral owner is probably not particularly concerned. He/she's just upset that this happened with $40 oil.

Wow, this gets tedious.


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