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Title : Jobs -- March 8, 2019
link : Jobs -- March 8, 2019

Jobs -- March 8, 2019

Jobs: good, bad, indifferent --actual -- 20,000, 3.8%

• forecast
• • 210,000, 3.8
  • 200,000, 3.9
  • 195,000, 3.5
  • 200,000, 3.9 
  • 189,000, private jobs only, Steve Liesman, doesn't do govt numbers,
  • 239,000, won't give rate, Rick Santelli

Dow, futures:

• before February jobs number is released: down 130 points
• after Februaryjobs number is released: down 200 points; now moving down 220 points

Reaction on CNBC to jobs report:

• 20,000 vs 200,000
• "don't read too much into one number
• unemployment number remains low
• I wouldn't panic
• analysts "way off"
• Steve Liesman: "lots of stuff gives me questions about the number"
• weather
• winter storms
• construction numbers fell off the cliff
• government shutdown -- during this period; confusing 
• 63.2% participation rate remains unchanged 
• U6: huge drop; largest drop on record; U6 number is "pretty amazing"
• housing starts up 18.6% vs 9.5% estimate
• bottom line: talking heads very, very positive about the number; not concerned;

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Thus Article Jobs -- March 8, 2019

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