Tesla .... And The Numbers Are .... 1Q19

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Title : Tesla .... And The Numbers Are .... 1Q19
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Tesla .... And The Numbers Are .... 1Q19

Tesla estimates, link here, estimates --
  • for 1Q19:
    • adjusted loss per share, range 64 cents to $2.60, with average at $1.30
    • revenue estimate, range from $4.40 billion to $5.12 billion, with average of $4.8 billion
    • automotive gross margin estimate: +17.8%
    • CAPEX, range from $291 million to $625 million, with average of $508 million
  • for 2Q19:
    • automotive gross margin estimate: +19.5%
    • CAPEX, range from $250 million to $650 million, with average of $551 million
Tesla: actual results -- in red bold --
  • for 1Q19:
    • adjusted loss per share, range 64 cents to $2.60, with average at $1.30 -- $2.90
    • revenue estimate, range from $4.40 billion to $5.12 billion, with average of $4.8 billion -- $4.54 billion
    • automotive gross margin estimate: +17.8%
    • CAPEX, range from $291 million to $625 million, with average of $508 million
    • cash position: $2.2 billion; reduction of $1.5 billion from 4Q18
    • operating cash outflow: $919.5 million reversing a positive cash flow in 4Q18
  • for 2Q19:
    • automotive gross margin estimate: +19.5%
    • CAPEX, range from $250 million to $6
Guidance: to paraphrase Musk Melon --
  • things couldn't be better
  • results 1Q19 an anomaly
  • back to superior results for the rest of 2019
  • meanwhile, it's more fun to talk about autonomous taxis
  • let's talk insurance
In comments at the linked article,
  • from Doctor R:
Tesl (sic) will rebound. Their Model 3 performance is a great car and the S and X just got some much needed upgrades. 
For a luxury car company they are doing great sales figure wise.
  •  from BG:
After listening to Musk answer some pointed questions (notably the first from the JP Morgan analyst), one thing comes to mind - Enron
  • no mention in the article about federal credits will come to an end this year. Did analysts bring that up in the Q&A?
Comment: I have no idea how you can spin these results -- "average" consensus, a loss of $1.30/share. In fact, a loss of almost $3.00/share.


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